Mozambique is becoming a case study on the perils of rushing into markets at the edge of the world’s financial system. Global investors who in 2013 thought they were lending a state-owned company $850m to buy a tuna fishing fleet learned within months that the funds had been diverted to buy ships for the navy.
Two years later, they were told Mozambique intended to restructure the bonds because the fishing company’s revenue was not holding up. Now, they are learning that Credit Suisse, which led the bond sale with a Russian bank, had made another sizeable loan to Mozambique at about the same time of the original bond sale.
The end result is that Mozambique is deeper in debt, paying higher interest on the new restructured bonds and weathering a downgrade of its credit rating to "selective default". Investors are left with bonds that are likely worth less than they thought before learning about the other loans. And there still is not much to show in the way of tuna.
Buyers of the tuna bonds officially endorsed the restructuring on Friday, with about 85% voting to accept the deal. The restructuring replaced debt that had originally yielded 8.5% with new government bonds yielding 14.4%.
Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services cut its credit rating of Mozambican debt to selective default status on Friday, calling the exchange "distressed". The episode presents another mess for Credit Suisse CEO Tidjane Thiam as he attempts to reduce the bank’s reliance on investment banking in risky markets.
The bank managed the restructuring, which helped tie off the problem of the rapid failure of the original bonds it helped sell.
But investors want to know why they were not told about the other loans until after they had cast their votes for the restructuring. The loans made by Credit Suisse and other lenders — at least $787m worth — could diminish the value of the new bonds.
"Why wasn’t it disclosed?" said Marcus Boeckmann, an emerging market debt fund manager at Candriam Investors Group in London, who participated in the bond exchange without knowing of the incremental loans. "That would clearly be a negative."
While Credit Suisse did not inform bondholders of the existence of the loan until many had agreed to the restructuring late in March, it had included the debt in the calculation of Mozambique’s consolidated public debt that it provided to investors during the exchange, a person familiar with the offering said.
Between the bonds and loans, Credit Suisse and other banks helped Mozambique borrow at least $1.47bn in 2013 alone, representing a 25% increase on the roughly $6bn national debt reported at the end of 2012.
The debt has become all the more onerous over the past year as Mozambique’s currency depreciated by 29%. The government obtained a $289m rescue loan from the International Monetary Fund in October to bolster its finances. Investors chasing higher yields and the commodities boom rushed into Africa in recent years.
When Mozambique, a country with rich offshore natural gas deposits, proposed in 2013 to sell $850m in government-guaranteed bonds for a new state-owned tuna fishing company, Credit Suisse and Russian bank VTB Group easily sold the debt to buyers that included big money managers like AllianceBernstein, Aberdeen Asset Management and Franklin Templeton Investments.
The bonds were sold by a company called Empresa Mocambicana de Atum, or Ematum, over several months in 2013 ending in September. A preliminary offering document for the bonds gave a short description of how the proceeds would be used for "the fishery activity of tuna and other fish resources" — and included no financial projections, according to a copy of the document reviewed by The Wall Street Journal.
Fund managers said they invested in the deal without much knowledge of how the fishing company would operate because they trusted in the government guarantee backing the bonds. Later in September, however, the contractor to build the tuna boats announced it also would be building expensive military speedboats.
In public budgetary documents, the government said it had decided to split the funds into commercial and noncommercial uses. The news shocked investors.
"We had a lot of questions from clients who had corporate governance concerns," said Kevin Daly, a portfolio manager on the emerging market fixed income team at Aberdeen Asset Management. "There was a lot of stigma attached to this bond." Attempts to reach Mozambique’s finance ministry and Ematum were unsuccessful.
Investors who spoke with the finance minister said they were told the country always thought the proceeds could be used for equipment to protect the tuna fleet. Meanwhile, Ematum was pulling in at most 5% of the tuna it had expected, according to bond investor Marco Ruijer, who reviewed the company’s financial statements.
In June 2015, the government announced plans to restructure the debt. Mr Ruijer manages $5bn in emerging market debt at NN Investment Partners. He travelled to Mozambique in September to meet with the finance minister to get more information on the restructuring. At the last minute, the meeting was cancelled. "It was a big mess," he said.
By February the bond’s price had fallen to 74c on the dollar, reflecting fear that Mozambique would miss a principal payment due March 11. The government made the payment, then offered to swap holders of the remaining bonds into more traditional government bonds. Investors would have to hold the bonds for years longer than the original debt but would get much higher interest.
What the investors did not know is that in 2013, Credit Suisse and VTB had lent $622m to another state-owned company, Proindicus SA, to fund the purchases of navy ships and radar installations to protect against piracy, a person familiar with the loans said.
The following year, the bank approached investors about expanding the loan to as much as $900m, the person said. Credit Suisse did not tell the tuna bondholders about the loans until March 24, a day after the bulk of them had approved the restructuring in an early vote, people familiar with the matter said.
The disclosure was triggered by a downgrade from S&P on March 15 that tripped a clause making the loans immediately repayable, one of the people said. Unless they are also restructured, the Proindicus loans are scheduled to be fully repaid by 2021, two years before the new bonds fall due, according to a person familiar with the matter. In the event Mozambique defaults on its debts, the existence of the additional loans could reduce recoveries for bondholders, investors said.
Source: BD Live3